Macau vs Thailand

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Lifelong Chelsea Supporter
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WC-2010 Qualifiers (2nd leg)

Thailand will be without 8 of their national players and the coach will also be changing 6 of the players that beat Macau 6-1 at home in the first leg.

I'm thinking of taking Macau (+3.5) or Total goals <4 based on the following:

1. Pitch is bumpy and might affect Thailand's style of play
2. With the huge 6-1 lead from the first leg there is little incentive to push for a big win
3. Thailand has 8 national players missing
4. The coach has already expressed concerned over the fitness and fatigue of his players when they have to play in the Thailand Premier League next week.
A more laid-back approach might be adopted.

Slightly more value on the total goals under (1.95) while Macau (+3.5) is at 1.75.

Your comments are much appreciated.
 

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